Kansas last frost date

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.

As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Kansas, Oklahoma start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 16, and by November 7 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.You can choose between a 50/50 probability of frost after the given date, or you can play it safe and choose the 10 percent date, which means there’s only a 10 percent chance of a frost after ...According to the USDA Leavenworth is in USDA Zone 6a. Here is some general info for USDA Zone 6a to help you get started. Average Date of Last Frost (spring) April 15. Average Date of First Frost (fall) October 15. Lowest Expected Low. …A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Wellsville, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 30, and by October 29 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.

After last frost date: Beet: Outside: Minimum soil temperature 45 degrees: Broccoli: Inside: 3-4 weeks before transplant date: Broccoli raab: Inside: 3-4 weeks before transplant date: Brussels sprout: Inside: In May, ready to transplant in 4-6 weeks: Burdock: Outside: Anytime in spring: Cabbage: Inside: 4-6 weeks before transplant date: Chinese ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.

As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Minneapolis, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 2, and by October 27 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.Last Frost Dates were calculated using daily climate data from the period between 1991-2020. Related Pages List of Average Last Frost Dates for Locations in OklahomaOur frost date calculator will tell you precisely when your garden in overland park, kansas is at risk for frost. What are the 2024 Frost Dates? A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. About Frost Maps. Plantmaps maintains Frost data and maps for many regions on the earth. We've created Average First Frost Dates, Average Last Frost Dates and Average Number of days with Frost maps for most US States and Candian Provinces. Plantmaps also created maps for many countries around the world that are in latitudes where frost occurs.

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What are the 2024 Frost Dates? A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. If you are looking for a new or used Lexus in Kansas, there are several things you can do to find the best deals. In this article, we will discuss how to find the best deals on Kan...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. WICHITA, KS. 1335'. Apr 18. Oct 23. 187 days. Last and first frost dates are 30% probability. Calculated using 1991-2020 Climate Normals from NOAA. Average Frost Free Dates for Johnson County, Kansas. Earliest date of last frost was March 15, 1910. Latest date of last frost was May 14, 1914. Fall. Earliest date of first frost was …You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 7. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 19. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 31. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light …Kansas Last & First Frost Dates. Unfortunately, Mother Nature plays cruel tricks on us every year. It should be noted that the above dates are just averages. There are years when the last frost comes MUCH later. Sometimes, the last frost happens much earlier and you can get your marigold planted outside in Kansas much quicker.The website provides frost/freeze probabilities, tables, maps and dates using data from the National Center for Environmental Information, based on information collected from 1981 through 2010. Features of the site include median date point maps, which provide the last spring and first fall median frost/freeze dates for various …Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 16. Oct 20. Oct 24. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Shawnee, Kansas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Wa Keeney, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 26, and by October 22 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 3. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 14. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 26. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Sep 21. Sep 24. Sep 27. Sep 30. Oct 2. Oct 5. Oct 9. Oct 13. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Hays, KS to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.

Oct 13, 2021 · Oct 3. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 16. Oct 19. Oct 23. Oct 28. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Wichita, Kansas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.About Frost Maps. Plantmaps maintains Frost data and maps for many regions on the earth. We've created Average First Frost Dates, Average Last Frost Dates and Average Number of days with Frost maps for most US States and Candian Provinces. Plantmaps also created maps for many countries around the world that are in latitudes where frost … You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 20. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 28. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 6. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. According to the USDA Greenville is in USDA Zone 8a. Here is some general info for USDA Zone 8a to help you get started. Average Date of Last Frost (spring) March 15. Average Date of First Frost (fall) November 15. Lowest Expected Low. 10°F. Highest Expected Low.General Overview of Spring Frost/Freeze Information: The mid-April through early-May time frame typically features the final occurrence of freezing temperatures and/or frost of the spring season within our 30-county coverage area of south central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Based on 30-year averages, the date of the AVERAGE last spring freeze (32°-or-colder) ranges from around April ...Are you tired of waking up to the sound of dripping water? Is your frost-free water dispenser not living up to its name? If so, you’re not alone. Many homeowners find themselves fr...According to the USDA Leavenworth is in USDA Zone 6a. Here is some general info for USDA Zone 6a to help you get started. Average Date of Last Frost (spring) April 15. Average Date of First Frost (fall) October 15. Lowest Expected Low. …A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 20. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 29. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 7. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.

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You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 20. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 29. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 7. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Kansas on average has approximately 150 days between the last and first frost. Using the planting schedules below will help you get the most out of your garden. Zone 5 Planting …The date of the average last freeze of the season is highly variable across the U.S. ... Average Last Freeze: Latest Last Freeze: Kansas City: April 11: May 3: Omaha, Nebraska: April 23: May 15 ...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 27. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 8. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 18. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.Most planting and seed sowing instructions are based on the average last frost date, which is defined as "the last day in the spring that you might have a killing frost". When making your plant selections, it is wise to consult more experienced gardening friends and neighbors for advice regarding possible local micro-climates or unusual conditions.A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and …Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 14. Oct 17. Oct 23. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Dodge City, Kansas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 19. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 27. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 4. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall. The next secretary of state of Kansas may be a former Uber and Google executive. Download and open up Google Earth. Click to zoom in. As you rush through the atmosphere, the flat e...You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 20. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 28. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 6. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.List of Average Last Frost Dates for Locations in Illinois. Location. Average Last Frost Dates. Addison. May 11 - May 20. Algonquin. May 11 - May 20. Alsip. May 1 - May 10. ….

A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ...On average, your last spring frost occurs on April 20 (at TOPEKA - NWS, KS climate station, elevation 879 feet). Crop Based on Frost Dates Based on Moon Dates; Start Seeds Indoors Plant Seedlings or Transplants Start Seeds Outdoors Last Date to Plant; Arugula: Feb 23-Mar 8 Feb 23-24: Mar 30-Apr 13 Apr 8-13: Mar 23-30 Mar 23-25: Sep 19 ...A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation.Feb 14, 2020 ... What is Your Last Frost Date? Knowing your last frost date is super important for spring planting. In this video, I discuss the importance ...Apr 15, 2024 ... Open. Estimated Last Frost Date. · April 15 · Details.Sep 19. Sep 22. Sep 25. Sep 28. Sep 30. Oct 3. Oct 6. Oct 11. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Hoxie, Kansas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!Oct 12. Oct 15. Oct 19. Oct 23. Oct 30. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Parsons, KS to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Stockton, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 18, and by October 18 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event. A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Oct 5. Oct 9. Oct 13. Oct 18. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Topeka, Kansas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! Kansas last frost date, Oct 4. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 17. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Paola, KS to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! Frost Dates for other nearby locations. Olathe, KS., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 16. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 24. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 3. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Levant, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 18, and by October 14 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Carlyle, Kansas. How to read these charts for the spring. As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day. Eventually, the ..., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Ft Scott, KS start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 10, and by November 3 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 19. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 27. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 4. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., The following map displays the average date of the last spring frost (≤32 F) in Missouri. These are dates in the spring after which there is a 50 percent chance of a light killing frost. Typically, the last spring frost occurs over northern and central Missouri by April 20 and April 10, respectively. Frosts are more likely to be experienced ..., Oct 3. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 16. Oct 19. Oct 23. Oct 28. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Wichita, Kansas to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants!, A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., On average, your last spring frost occurs on April 18 (at WICHITA, KS climate station, elevation 1335 feet). Crop Based on Frost Dates Based on Moon Dates; Start Seeds Indoors Plant Seedlings or Transplants Start Seeds Outdoors Last Date to Plant; Arugula: Feb 21-Mar 6 Feb 21-24: Mar 28-Apr 11 Apr 8-11: Mar 21-28 Mar 21-25: Sep 25: Asparagus: N ..., Planting Guides for Lawrence. According to the USDA Lawrence is in USDA Zone 6b. Here is some general info for USDA Zone 6b to help you get started. Average Date of Last Frost (spring) April 15. Average Date of First Frost (fall) October 15. Lowest Expected Low. -5°F., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Offerle, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 27, and by October 24 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., Want to know when to expect your last frost of the spring, or the first frost of the fall? Enter your zip code (or City, State) below and we'll tell you what we know. Our information is taken directly from the National Weather Service and depending on the location of the reporting station for your zip code, the results may vary. Popular Plants., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., After last frost date: Beet: Outside: Minimum soil temperature 45 degrees: Broccoli: Inside: 3-4 weeks before transplant date: Broccoli raab: Inside: 3-4 weeks before transplant date: Brussels sprout: Inside: In May, ready to transplant in 4-6 weeks: Burdock: Outside: Anytime in spring: Cabbage: Inside: 4-6 weeks before transplant date: Chinese ..., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., Weather Weather sub-navigation. 5-Day Forecast; Long-Range Forecast; Spring Forecast 2024; Frost Dates; Weather History; Gardening Gardening sub-navigation. Garden Planner; Planting Dates Chart; Robin's Garden Blog, Oct 4. Oct 7. Oct 10. Oct 13. Oct 17. Now that you know your frost dates, use our Garden Planting Calendar for Paola, KS to know when to sow and transplant your various vegetable plants! Frost Dates for other nearby locations. Olathe, KS., As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Radley, Kansas start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around October 14, and by November 9 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall.. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy ..., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation. Severe freeze: 24°F (-4.4°C) and colder—heavy damage to most garden plants., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 22. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 31. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 9. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall., A frost date is the average date of the last light freeze in spring or the first light freeze in fall. The classification of freeze temperatures is based on their effect on plants: Light freeze: 29° to 32°F (-1.7° to 0°C)—tender plants are killed. Moderate freeze: 25° to 28°F (-3.9° to -2.2°C)—widely destructive to most vegetation., You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 30. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 12. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 23. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night. In the Fall.